Esiliiga · first half goals
Alliance First Half Goals
In 72 Esiliiga matches, 86.1% of Alliance’s first halves produced a goal, 5th of the 15 published clubs in the division. They scored before halftime in 33.3% of them and conceded in 77.8%.
What Alliance’s first halves look like
Early goals in Alliance’s matches land at the wrong end far more often than the right one: 77.8% of matches bring one against them and 33.3% bring one for them, 44.5pp apart. Alliance are close to two different sides either side of the coach door: a first-half goal of their own in 41.7% of home matches, 25.0% of away ones, 16.7pp between them.
A second goal before the break is close to routine here: 59.7% of Alliance’s matches manage it against 49.3% for the division. Once the scoring starts here it keeps going: a second goal follows the first 69% of the time, well clear of the 60% the division manages.
They are well behind before halftime on aggregate: 1.47 conceded a game against 0.42 scored. The record here is thinner than most of the division's: 72 matches against a typical 137.
Every figure on this page rests on 72 completed Alliance matches over 2 seasons (2022 to 2023). At that size a single percentage point is about one match, so read each rate as a range rather than a figure.
Alliance first-half profile
| A goal before halftime (over 0.5) | 86.1% |
|---|---|
| Two or more (over 1.5) | 59.7% |
| Three or more (over 2.5) | 26.4% |
| Average first-half goals in their matches | 1.89 |
| Matches in which they scored before halftime | 33.3% |
| Matches in which they conceded before halftime | 77.8% |
| First-half goals scored per match | 0.42 |
| First-half goals conceded per match | 1.47 |
| Matches counted | 72 |
| Seasons covered | 2 (2022 to 2023) |
The over rows count goals by either side; the scored and conceded rows split that between them.
Home and away
| Venue | Over 0.5 | Over 1.5 | Scored | Conceded | Avg goals | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 83.3% | 52.8% | 41.7% | 75.0% | 1.75 | 36 |
| Away | 88.9% | 66.7% | 25.0% | 80.6% | 2.03 | 36 |
Alliance score before halftime 41.7% of the time at home against 25.0% away, a gap of 16.7pp. Each row rests only on the matches played at that venue, so read them as two separate samples rather than one split in half.
Alliance against Esiliiga
| Line | Alliance | Esiliiga | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 86.1% | 81.8% | +4.3pp |
| Over 1.5 | 59.7% | 49.3% | +10.4pp |
| Over 2.5 | 26.4% | 23.5% | +2.9pp |
Counted from 72 matches · 2 seasons · 2022 to 2023.
How to read these numbers
- These are historical rates over pooled seasons, not a forecast. A club that has changed manager, division or squad reads as the average of every version of itself on record.
- The opponent matters as much as the club. A high-scoring side against a defense that rarely concedes early is a different fixture from the same side against one that does.
For the model’s estimate of an actual upcoming fixture rather than this club’s history, see first half goals predictions and how the model works.
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First Half Score is a research and information tool. Predictions and historical hit rates are provided for informational purposes only and are not financial, investment, or betting advice. Outcomes are uncertain and no figure guarantees a result. Intended for users 18+.