Liga MX · first half goals
Toluca First Half Goals
In 354 Liga MX matches, 74.6% of Toluca’s first halves produced a goal, 2nd of the 21 published clubs in the division. They scored before halftime in 54.2% of them and conceded in 47.5%.
What Toluca’s first halves look like
Toluca are close to two different sides either side of the coach door: a first-half goal of their own in 65.5% of home matches, 42.9% of away ones, 22.6pp between them. Travel costs Toluca at the back: 53.1% of their away matches bring an early goal against, next to 41.8% of home ones.
No published club in the division leans on its own ground more than Toluca do for early goals. Only 1 published Liga MX club beats Toluca for the share of their first halves that produce a goal.
A second goal before the break is close to routine here: 42.7% of Toluca’s matches manage it against 35.3% for the division. Toluca attack the first half better than they guard it: 3rd of 21 in the division for scoring before halftime, 10th for keeping the other side out.
Every figure on this page rests on 354 completed Toluca matches over 10 seasons (2017 to 2026). That is a large enough sample that the venue rows above are worth reading as two separate records rather than one split in half.
Toluca first-half profile
| A goal before halftime (over 0.5) | 74.6% |
|---|---|
| Two or more (over 1.5) | 42.7% |
| Three or more (over 2.5) | 17.2% |
| Average first-half goals in their matches | 1.42 |
| Matches in which they scored before halftime | 54.2% |
| Matches in which they conceded before halftime | 47.5% |
| First-half goals scored per match | 0.77 |
| First-half goals conceded per match | 0.64 |
| Matches counted | 354 |
| Seasons covered | 10 (2017 to 2026) |
The over rows count goals by either side; the scored and conceded rows split that between them.
Home and away
| Venue | Over 0.5 | Over 1.5 | Scored | Conceded | Avg goals | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 78.0% | 47.5% | 65.5% | 41.8% | 1.53 | 177 |
| Away | 71.2% | 37.9% | 42.9% | 53.1% | 1.30 | 177 |
Toluca score before halftime 65.5% of the time at home against 42.9% away, a gap of 22.6pp. Each row rests only on the matches played at that venue, so read them as two separate samples rather than one split in half.
Toluca against Liga MX
| Line | Toluca | Liga MX | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 74.6% | 69.7% | +4.9pp |
| Over 1.5 | 42.7% | 35.3% | +7.4pp |
| Over 2.5 | 17.2% | 13.2% | +4.0pp |
Counted from 354 matches · 10 seasons · 2017 to 2026.
How to read these numbers
- These are historical rates over pooled seasons, not a forecast. A club that has changed manager, division or squad reads as the average of every version of itself on record.
- The opponent matters as much as the club. A high-scoring side against a defense that rarely concedes early is a different fixture from the same side against one that does.
For the model’s estimate of an actual upcoming fixture rather than this club’s history, see first half goals predictions and how the model works.
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First Half Score is a research and information tool. Predictions and historical hit rates are provided for informational purposes only and are not financial, investment, or betting advice. Outcomes are uncertain and no figure guarantees a result. Intended for users 18+.