Serie A · first half goals
AC Milan First Half Goals
In 197 Serie A matches, 70.6% of AC Milan’s first halves produced a goal, 12th of the 25 published clubs in the division. They scored before halftime in 54.3% of them and conceded in 36.5%.
What AC Milan’s first halves look like
Most of the early scoring in AC Milan’s matches is their own doing. They find the net before the break in 54.3% of matches and let one in during 36.5%, 17.8pp apart. Home advantage arrives early for AC Milan: they open the scoring account before halftime in 61.2% of home matches and only 47.5% of away ones, 13.7pp between them.
Travel costs AC Milan at the back: 41.4% of their away matches bring an early goal against, next to 31.6% of home ones. Once the scoring starts here it keeps going: a second goal follows the first 55% of the time, well clear of the 46% the division manages.
A second goal before the break is close to routine here: 38.6% of AC Milan’s matches manage it against 32.1% for the division. There is more record to read here than for most of the division: 197 matches against a typical 159.
Every figure on this page rests on 197 completed AC Milan matches over 6 seasons (2021 to 2026). That is enough to separate a clear tendency from noise, and not enough to split it much further by venue or opponent.
AC Milan first-half profile
| A goal before halftime (over 0.5) | 70.6% |
|---|---|
| Two or more (over 1.5) | 38.6% |
| Three or more (over 2.5) | 9.1% |
| Average first-half goals in their matches | 1.22 |
| Matches in which they scored before halftime | 54.3% |
| Matches in which they conceded before halftime | 36.5% |
| First-half goals scored per match | 0.75 |
| First-half goals conceded per match | 0.47 |
| Matches counted | 197 |
| Seasons covered | 6 (2021 to 2026) |
The over rows count goals by either side; the scored and conceded rows split that between them.
Home and away
| Venue | Over 0.5 | Over 1.5 | Scored | Conceded | Avg goals | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 72.4% | 35.7% | 61.2% | 31.6% | 1.26 | 98 |
| Away | 68.7% | 41.4% | 47.5% | 41.4% | 1.18 | 99 |
AC Milan score before halftime 61.2% of the time at home against 47.5% away, a gap of 13.7pp. Each row rests only on the matches played at that venue, so read them as two separate samples rather than one split in half.
AC Milan against Serie A
| Line | AC Milan | Serie A | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 70.6% | 69.9% | +0.7pp |
| Over 1.5 | 38.6% | 32.1% | +6.5pp |
| Over 2.5 | 9.1% | 10.2% | −1.1pp |
Counted from 197 matches · 6 seasons · 2021 to 2026.
How to read these numbers
- These are historical rates over pooled seasons, not a forecast. A club that has changed manager, division or squad reads as the average of every version of itself on record.
- The opponent matters as much as the club. A high-scoring side against a defense that rarely concedes early is a different fixture from the same side against one that does.
For the model’s estimate of an actual upcoming fixture rather than this club’s history, see first half goals predictions and how the model works.
Research today’s first-half goals
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First Half Score is a research and information tool. Predictions and historical hit rates are provided for informational purposes only and are not financial, investment, or betting advice. Outcomes are uncertain and no figure guarantees a result. Intended for users 18+.