LFPB · first half goals
The Strongest First Half Goals
In 201 LFPB matches, 77.6% of The Strongest’s first halves produced a goal, 3rd of the 17 published clubs in the division. They scored before halftime in 64.2% of them and conceded in 37.8%.
What The Strongest’s first halves look like
The Strongest are close to two different sides either side of the coach door: a first-half goal of their own in 79.2% of home matches, 49.0% of away ones, 30.2pp between them. Early scoring in The Strongest’s matches is overwhelmingly their own: the net bulges at the right end before the break in 64.2% of matches and at the wrong one in 37.8%, 26.4pp apart.
No published club in the division leans on its own ground more than The Strongest do for early goals. Only 2 published LFPB clubs beat The Strongest for the share of their first halves that produce a goal.
A goal arrives before halftime in 77.6% of The Strongest’s LFPB matches. The LFPB figure is 72.8%, putting them 4.8pp clear of it. The other 22.4% end level and goalless. A The Strongest home first half is worth 1.65 goals on average, an away one 1.19.
Every figure on this page rests on 201 completed The Strongest matches over 6 seasons (2021 to 2026). That is enough to separate a clear tendency from noise, and not enough to split it much further by venue or opponent.
The Strongest first-half profile
| A goal before halftime (over 0.5) | 77.6% |
|---|---|
| Two or more (over 1.5) | 39.3% |
| Three or more (over 2.5) | 17.9% |
| Average first-half goals in their matches | 1.42 |
| Matches in which they scored before halftime | 64.2% |
| Matches in which they conceded before halftime | 37.8% |
| First-half goals scored per match | 0.91 |
| First-half goals conceded per match | 0.52 |
| Matches counted | 201 |
| Seasons covered | 6 (2021 to 2026) |
The over rows count goals by either side; the scored and conceded rows split that between them.
Home and away
| Venue | Over 0.5 | Over 1.5 | Scored | Conceded | Avg goals | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 87.1% | 46.5% | 79.2% | 34.7% | 1.65 | 101 |
| Away | 68.0% | 32.0% | 49.0% | 41.0% | 1.19 | 100 |
The Strongest score before halftime 79.2% of the time at home against 49.0% away, a gap of 30.2pp. Each row rests only on the matches played at that venue, so read them as two separate samples rather than one split in half.
The Strongest against LFPB
| Line | The Strongest | LFPB | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 77.6% | 72.8% | +4.8pp |
| Over 1.5 | 39.3% | 37.0% | +2.3pp |
| Over 2.5 | 17.9% | 16.1% | +1.8pp |
Counted from 201 matches · 6 seasons · 2021 to 2026.
How to read these numbers
- These are historical rates over pooled seasons, not a forecast. A club that has changed manager, division or squad reads as the average of every version of itself on record.
- The opponent matters as much as the club. A high-scoring side against a defense that rarely concedes early is a different fixture from the same side against one that does.
For the model’s estimate of an actual upcoming fixture rather than this club’s history, see first half goals predictions and how the model works.
Research today’s first-half goals
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First Half Score is a research and information tool. Predictions and historical hit rates are provided for informational purposes only and are not financial, investment, or betting advice. Outcomes are uncertain and no figure guarantees a result. Intended for users 18+.